Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.102022 0.113879 0.126166 0.139820 0.154536 0.169891 0.187092
2024-10-20 0.081819 0.099093 0.118041 0.140230 0.165362 0.192808 0.224906
2024-10-27 0.067732 0.088359 0.112159 0.141319 0.175739 0.214737 0.261913
2024-11-03 0.062018 0.086063 0.114979 0.151698 0.196443 0.248566 0.313210
2024-11-10 0.053046 0.078401 0.110187 0.151988 0.204497 0.267271 0.346925
2024-11-17 0.046743 0.073201 0.107638 0.154340 0.214564 0.288158 0.383341
2024-11-24 0.040881 0.067783 0.104096 0.154805 0.221810 0.305354 0.415284
2024-12-01 0.038836 0.067366 0.106989 0.163571 0.239721 0.336095 0.464520
2024-12-08 0.037014 0.066998 0.109758 0.172083 0.257366 0.366745 0.514144
2024-12-15 0.033197 0.063167 0.107239 0.172994 0.264662 0.383985 0.546778
2024-12-22 0.028716 0.057778 0.101983 0.169621 0.265798 0.392958 0.568683
2024-12-29 0.027389 0.057324 0.103944 0.176521 0.281115 0.420853 0.615613
2025-01-05 0.025198 0.055370 0.103730 0.180594 0.293145 0.445367 0.659653
2025-01-12 0.022905 0.053009 0.102739 0.183493 0.303672 0.468236 0.702218
2025-01-19 0.020734 0.050605 0.101476 0.185860 0.313455 0.490285 0.744134
2025-01-26 0.020793 0.052366 0.107101 0.199015 0.339259 0.534944 0.817383
2025-02-02 0.018596 0.049503 0.104775 0.199569 0.346458 0.553786 0.855761
2025-02-09 0.017028 0.047679 0.104045 0.202531 0.357213 0.577722 0.901416
2025-02-16 0.015268 0.045207 0.101965 0.203136 0.364323 0.596521 0.940166
2025-02-23 0.015096 0.046136 0.105986 0.213855 0.387059 0.637988 1.010998
2025-03-02 0.014879 0.046924 0.109757 0.224227 0.409431 0.679220 1.081974
2025-03-09 0.013509 0.044885 0.108117 0.225339 0.417316 0.699434 1.123444
2025-03-16 0.011671 0.041450 0.103569 0.221235 0.416829 0.707328 1.147501